SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
37.95% ( -0.43) | 26.87% ( -0.11) | 35.18% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( 0.49) | 53.88% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( 0.41) | 75.34% ( -0.41) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -0.02) | 27.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -0.02) | 63.07% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.57) | 29.21% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( 0.7) | 65.16% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.18% |
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