SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Haka | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 5 | Oulu | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Ilves | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | SJK | 14 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 14 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
35.83% ( 0.52) | 26.09% ( -0.26) | 38.08% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 1.14) | 50.61% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.99) | 72.52% ( -0.99) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.86) | 27.24% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( 1.1) | 62.66% ( -1.1) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.38) | 25.95% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% ( 0.51) | 60.96% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.08% |
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