SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KuPS in this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
45% ( 0.16) | 26.52% ( 0.06) | 28.48% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.35) | 54.43% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( -0.29) | 75.8% ( 0.3) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.07) | 24.09% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( -0.11) | 58.38% ( 0.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.36) | 34.14% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.38) | 70.83% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.48% |
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