Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for KuPS in this match.

Result
KuPS	Draw	Ilves
45% ( 0.16)	26.52% ( 0.06)	28.48% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 49.99% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57% (

-0.35)

54.43% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

-0.29)

75.8% (

0.3)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.07)

24.09% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.11)

58.38% (

0.11)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.36)

34.14% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

-0.38)

70.83% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

KuPS 45%

Ilves 28.48%

Draw 26.52%

KuPS	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.48%