SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
45.88% ( 0.55) | 24.66% ( -0.35) | 29.46% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 1.41) | 46.26% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 1.31) | 68.55% ( -1.31) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.82) | 20.25% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( 1.29) | 52.58% ( -1.29) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( 0.57) | 29.18% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% ( 0.7) | 65.13% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.88% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.46% |
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