SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Ilves | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Haka | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Haka | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Oulu | 13 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 13 | 10 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
46.75% ( -0.3) | 25.43% ( -0.09) | 27.82% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.61) | 50.46% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 0.53) | 72.39% ( -0.53) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.12) | 21.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 0.18) | 54.68% ( -0.18) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( 0.62) | 32.55% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( 0.69) | 69.08% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.83% |
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