SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Oulu | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 10 | 4 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Oulu |
24.74% ( 0.3) | 23.96% ( -0.78) | 51.31% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( 2.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( 3.52) | 46.58% ( -3.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( 3.22) | 68.85% ( -3.22) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( 2.16) | 32.96% ( -2.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( 2.33) | 69.54% ( -2.33) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( 1.55) | 18.17% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% ( 2.57) | 49.15% ( -2.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.74% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.94)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -1.03) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.3% |
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