Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
