SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Oulu | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ilves | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Ilves |
50.25% ( -0.29) | 24.6% ( -0.31) | 25.15% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 1.77) | 48.95% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 1.58) | 71.04% ( -1.58) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.58) | 19.49% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.93) | 51.37% ( -0.93) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 1.48) | 33.9% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 1.57) | 70.57% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.15% |
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