Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
