SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Oulu | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Ilves | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 12 | -5 | 15 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 9 | SJK | 12 | -8 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
26.72% ( -0.21) | 24.92% ( -0.01) | 48.36% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.12) | 49.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.11) | 71.16% ( 0.1) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.23) | 32.69% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( -0.25) | 69.24% ( 0.25) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.04) | 20.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( 0.07) | 52.72% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 48.35% |
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