SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
40.34% ( 0) | 27.64% ( -0.01) | 32.02% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( 0.05) | 57.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( 0.04) | 78.19% ( -0.04) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( 0.02) | 27.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( 0.03) | 63.46% ( -0.03) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.03) | 33.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.04) | 69.66% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.01% |
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