Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.