SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | IFK Mariehamn | 14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | SJK | 13 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Ilves | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Haka | 13 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
44.35% ( -0.91) | 25.94% ( 0.12) | 29.71% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( -0.09) | 51.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.08) | 73.35% ( 0.08) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.47) | 23.16% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -0.69) | 57.03% ( 0.69) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( 0.54) | 31.71% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( 0.61) | 68.13% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.71% |
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