Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for SJK had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
