SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Haka had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Haka |
43.81% ( -0) | 25.52% ( 0.04) | 30.68% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.17) | 49.38% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.16) | 71.42% ( 0.16) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( -0.08) | 22.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( -0.11) | 56.03% ( 0.11) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.11) | 29.92% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% ( -0.14) | 66.02% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.68% |
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