SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Haka |
32.97% ( 0.3) | 26.74% ( 0.16) | 40.28% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.59) | 53.71% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( -0.5) | 75.19% ( 0.49) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.09) | 30.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( -0.11) | 66.77% ( 0.11) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.52) | 26.18% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.7) | 61.26% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.97% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
