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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
30.41% ( -0.25) | 25.1% ( 0.3) | 44.48% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -1.42) | 47.71% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -1.33) | 69.91% ( 1.33) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.89) | 29.26% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -1.1) | 65.21% ( 1.1) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.61) | 21.46% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( -0.96) | 54.49% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.48% |
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