SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
42.55% ( 0.2) | 25.07% ( 0.08) | 32.38% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( -0.45) | 46.82% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.42) | 69.08% ( 0.41) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.1) | 21.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% ( -0.15) | 55.28% ( 0.14) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.4) | 27.52% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -0.51) | 63.03% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.38% |
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