SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Inter Turku |
42.89% ( -0.01) | 25.2% ( -0.01) | 31.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( 0.04) | 47.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.03) | 69.73% ( -0.03) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.01) | 22.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( 0.02) | 55.48% ( -0.02) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( 0.03) | 28.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( 0.04) | 63.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.91% |
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