Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
