SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Haka had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
30.82% ( -0.04) | 26.01% ( -0.02) | 43.16% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( 0.06) | 51.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( 0.05) | 73.21% ( -0.05) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0) | 30.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0) | 67.12% ( -0) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( 0.08) | 57.77% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.16% |
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