Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 67.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
