SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Honka had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
52.72% ( 0.39) | 25.2% ( -0.14) | 22.07% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( 0.3) | 54.1% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( 0.25) | 75.52% ( -0.25) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0.28) | 20.52% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( 0.44) | 53.02% ( -0.45) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( -0.08) | 39.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( -0.07) | 76.24% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 52.71% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.07% |
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