Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
46.63% ( -0.98) | 26.23% ( 0.41) | 27.14% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 49.94% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.93% ( -1.22) | 54.07% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.5% ( -1.04) | 75.5% ( 1.04) |
Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( -0.97) | 23.17% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.95% ( -1.44) | 57.05% ( 1.44) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( -0.18) | 35% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( -0.2) | 71.75% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.14% |
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