SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
48.31% ( 0.11) | 26.45% ( -0.03) | 25.24% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.04) | 56.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.04) | 77.17% ( -0.04) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.07) | 23.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( 0.1) | 57.18% ( -0.11) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.05) | 37.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( -0.05) | 74.5% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.24% |
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