SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lahti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
40.71% ( 0.18) | 26.25% ( -0.03) | 33.04% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.1) | 51.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% ( 0.08) | 73.46% ( -0.09) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.14) | 25.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.31% ( 0.19) | 59.69% ( -0.2) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.05) | 29.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( -0.06) | 65.5% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.04% |
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