SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Haka had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Haka |
54.38% ( -0.28) | 24.91% ( 0.4) | 20.71% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( -1.65) | 54.41% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( -1.39) | 75.79% ( 1.39) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( -0.75) | 19.98% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.85% ( -1.22) | 52.15% ( 1.22) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% ( -1.07) | 41.15% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% ( -0.97) | 77.68% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.71% |
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