Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Haka had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
