SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | KuPS |
31.18% ( 0.02) | 27.38% ( 0) | 41.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.01) | 56.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( -0.01) | 77.6% ( 0.01) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.01) | 33.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.02) | 69.89% ( -0.01) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.02) | 26.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -0.03) | 62.23% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.44% |
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