Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
IFK Mariehamn | Draw | KuPS |
37.94% ( -0.03) | 25.99% ( -0.34) | 36.06% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 54.24% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.85% ( 1.49) | 50.15% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( 1.31) | 72.12% ( -1.31) |
IFK Mariehamn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% ( 0.67) | 25.81% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% ( 0.91) | 60.77% ( -0.91) |
KuPS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% ( 0.93) | 26.88% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( 1.2) | 62.2% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Mariehamn | Draw | KuPS |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.06% |
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