SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
43.59% ( -0.11) | 25.56% ( 0.01) | 30.85% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( -0.02) | 49.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( -0.01) | 71.54% ( 0.02) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.06) | 22.64% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.09) | 56.26% ( 0.09) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.06) | 29.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( 0.07) | 65.95% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.85% |
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