SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Haka had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Haka win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Haka |
58.87% ( 0.02) | 21.27% ( 0.08) | 19.85% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.53) | 40.29% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( -0.55) | 62.66% ( 0.55) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( -0.16) | 13.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -0.33) | 40.31% ( 0.33) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( -0.41) | 33.91% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( -0.45) | 70.59% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.85% |
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