SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Haka had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
48.97% ( 0) | 23.17% ( -0.01) | 27.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.05) | 40.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( 0.05) | 62.83% ( -0.05) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0.02) | 16.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% ( 0.03) | 46.66% ( -0.03) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% ( 0.04) | 62.79% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.86% |
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