SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
52.39% ( -0.43) | 22.7% ( 0.21) | 24.91% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.75) | 40.79% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.77) | 63.18% ( 0.77) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0.41) | 15.65% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( -0.77) | 44.67% ( 0.77) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.22) | 29.7% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( -0.27) | 65.76% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.91% |
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