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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
1 - 0
Ilves

Pennanen (73')
Vidjeskog (10'), Siltanen (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pikkarainen (26'), Arifi (86'), Atanga (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haka 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-1 Ilves
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawIlves
52.39% (-0.432 -0.43) 22.7% (0.207 0.21) 24.91% (0.225 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.3% (-0.481 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.747 -0.75)40.79% (0.748 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.768 -0.77)63.18% (0.769 0.77)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-0.413 -0.41)15.65% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (-0.772 -0.77)44.67% (0.773 0.77)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)29.7% (0.225 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.275 -0.27)65.76% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 52.39%
    Ilves 24.91%
    Draw 22.7%
KuPSDrawIlves
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 8% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 24.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Haka 2-2 KuPS
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 2-1 SJK
Sunday, August 4 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Tromso 1-0 KuPS
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: EIF 1-2 KuPS
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 0-1 Tromso
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Lahti
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Djurgarden 3-1 Ilves
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn
Sunday, August 11 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Oulu 0-1 Ilves
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 4-3 Ilves (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ilves 2-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, July 25 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


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