SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
58.05% ( -0.02) | 22.11% ( 0.01) | 19.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( -0.02) | 44.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( -0.02) | 66.49% ( 0.02) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( -0.01) | 14.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.72% ( -0.02) | 43.28% ( 0.02) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% | 36.14% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( 0) | 72.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.76% 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 3% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.04% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.84% |
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