SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Haka had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Haka win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | KuPS |
24.68% ( 0.04) | 23.41% ( -0.07) | 51.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 0.33) | 44.23% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( 0.32) | 66.6% ( -0.31) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.2) | 31.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( 0.23) | 68.17% ( -0.23) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( 0.13) | 17.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% ( 0.24) | 47.23% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | KuPS |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.91% |
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