SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Haka |
43.54% ( 0.08) | 23.04% ( -0.37) | 33.41% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 64.25% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% ( 1.91) | 36.9% ( -1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.92% ( 2.04) | 59.08% ( -2.04) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0.8) | 17.45% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( 1.38) | 47.91% ( -1.38) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 1.06) | 22.17% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 1.58) | 55.56% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.07% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.41% Total : 33.41% |
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