SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
41.38% ( -0.13) | 26.97% ( -0) | 31.65% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.04) | 54.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( 0.03) | 76.21% ( -0.03) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.05) | 26.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( -0.07) | 61.22% ( 0.06) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.11) | 32.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.13) | 68.53% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.38% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.65% |
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