SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for SJK had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for KuPS in this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | SJK |
44.26% ( -0.21) | 24.58% ( 0.1) | 31.16% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.41) | 45.09% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.39) | 67.43% ( 0.39) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.26) | 20.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( -0.41) | 52.94% ( 0.41) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( -0.13) | 27.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( -0.17) | 62.94% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | SJK |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.16% |
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