SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
56.19% ( 0.22) | 23.42% ( -0.02) | 20.38% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( -0.16) | 48.99% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.15) | 71.07% ( 0.14) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( 0.02) | 17.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( 0.04) | 47.56% ( -0.04) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( -0.3) | 38.38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% ( -0.29) | 75.13% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.38% |
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