SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oulu in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
55.42% ( 0.14) | 22.61% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( -0.05) | 43.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( -0.05) | 65.95% ( 0.04) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( 0.03) | 15.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( 0.06) | 44.55% ( -0.07) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% ( -0.14) | 33.74% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.6% ( -0.16) | 70.4% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 21.97% |
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