SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
38.58% ( 0.09) | 25.06% ( -0.02) | 36.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.08) | 45.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.08) | 68.26% ( -0.07) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 0.08) | 23.56% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( 0.12) | 57.62% ( -0.12) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0) | 24.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -0) | 59.31% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.58% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.36% |
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