Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
