SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Gnistan |
36.46% ( -0.57) | 24.39% ( 0.11) | 39.15% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( -0.55) | 42.79% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.55) | 65.2% ( 0.55) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.55) | 23.25% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.81) | 57.17% ( 0.82) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.01) | 21.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.01) | 55.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.15% |
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