SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
20.74% ( -0.4) | 22.75% ( 0.36) | 56.52% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -2.1) | 45.68% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( -2.03) | 68% ( 2.03) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( -1.59) | 36.12% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( -1.65) | 72.9% ( 1.65) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.71) | 15.96% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( -1.32) | 45.24% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 56.51% |
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