SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
50.43% ( -0.08) | 24.65% ( 0.04) | 24.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.13) | 49.31% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -0.12) | 71.36% ( 0.12) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.09) | 19.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.52% ( -0.14) | 51.48% ( 0.14) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.03) | 34.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.01% ( -0.04) | 70.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.92% |
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