SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
38.75% ( 0.12) | 23.07% ( 0.08) | 38.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65.12% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.85% ( -0.4) | 36.15% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.74% ( -0.44) | 58.26% ( 0.44) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.12) | 19.17% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.19) | 50.84% ( 0.19) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.26) | 19.43% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.43) | 51.27% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 38.19% |
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