Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Honka in this match.
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