SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
57.43% ( -0.03) | 23.36% ( 0.02) | 19.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.1) | 50.26% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.09) | 72.21% ( 0.08) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.05) | 17.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% ( -0.08) | 47.58% ( 0.08) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.06) | 40.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% ( -0.05) | 77% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.2% |
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