SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
27.38% ( 0.03) | 29.12% ( 0) | 43.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.01) | 63.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.89% ( 0.01) | 83.11% ( -0.01) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% ( 0.03) | 40.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.15% ( 0.03) | 76.84% ( -0.03) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.01) | 29.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -0.01) | 65.22% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 14.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 43.49% |
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